NFL Picks: NFL Best Bets and Player Props for Week 15 at FanDuel Sportsbook (2024)

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

NFL Player Props and Picks for NFL Week 15 at FanDuel Sportsbook

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NFL Week 15 Bets

Detroit Lions at New York Jets -1

Note: The first paragraph is what I had written Friday before it was announced that Zach Wilson, and not Mike White would start Sunday. The second paragraph is some follow-up thoughts.

The Detroit Lions have been very good over the last two weeks and I think Dan Campbell is a good coach. However, they played against two bad teams defensively and get a different story this week heading to New York to play the jets. The Jets offense has come to life with Mike White and Zonovan Knight has been a revelation at running back, pushing Michael Carter into a backup role. Garrett Wilson has proven himself to be a top 20 wide receiver and that might not be giving him enough credit. If the elements play a factor, I'd have to think that helps the Jets since the Lions are used to playing inside of a dome.

*Update: I had a feeling the Jets were going to try and give Wilson another shot this season although I thought it would be in a few weeks when they were out of contention for a playoff spot. I think it's interesting this line didn't move at all on the news as if the sportsbook already knew White wasn't going to be playing. I'm going to stick with the Jets here despite the quarterback switch although I'm not quite as enamored with it as I was thinking that White was playing.

Arizona Cardinals +1.5 at Denver Broncos

Week 15 brings us Colt McCoy versus Brett Rypien a matchup we can we should all be excited about. Seriously though, I trust McCoy much more than Rypien and think he has better offensive weapons around him including wide receivers and running backs. The Broncos still have an elite defense but if they couldn't move the ball with Russell Wilson, how are they going to with Rypien under center? Oddly, the Cardinals despite a 4-9 record are 3-2 on the road and it's tough to see Denver being motivated now that they've been eliminated from the playoffs.

Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers -7

I like the Packers coming off there bye week and they get another weapon back in Romeo Doubs, who return from after being injury for the previous few weeks. The running back edge easily favors the Packers even with Aaron Jones less than 100% and AJ Dillon has been a force to deal with over the last few weeks. I'm not buying into Baker Mayfield resurrecting the Rams and think that the last game was a complete fluke. I'd guess that Baker struggles on the road and probably still doesn't have a firm grasp of the offense. This game has blowout potential especially if Aaron Rodgers is close to 100% .

Player Prop Bets for Week 15

Jaylen Waddle OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards

This line seems a little fishy, considering the fact that Waddle has a total of 40 receiving yards over his last two games. Last game he tied a season-low with only four targets, suggesting that "progression" to the mean put him in for more targets this week. The over-under for this game is quietly crept up during the week which makes me think that the weather won't play as much of a factor as most people think. Tua Tagovailoa has an over/under of 236.5 passing yards suggesting that he will be able to air it out despite the snow and cold temperatures.

Evan Engram UNDER 37.5 Receiving Yards

Good old recency bias should have the public pounding the over for this prop given that Engram had 162 receiving yards last week. However, a closed look at the numbers shows that he didn't hit this over in his previous four games leading up to last week and it's a very different matchup this week for the tight end. The Titans rank towards the bottom of the league against the position (28th) while Dallas comes into the game as one of the best teams (3rd). Don't be surprised if this line moves up close to game time.

Derek Carr OVER 238.5 Passing Yards

Carr had an extremely poor showing last week in Los Angeles throwing for a season-low 137 passing yards but is in a great spot to rebound this week. Outside of a tough game against the Broncos he's hit this over in every other home game this season (four times) and it's a decent matchup against the Patriots. New England is only league-average (16th) against opposing quarterbacks, is playing on something of a short week, and is playing their second game in a row a long way from home. Carr also gets back the services of Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow which can only help.

Anytime Touchdown Props

Keenan Allen +170

This might be my favorite prop of the week as Allen is probably Justin Herbert's favorite wide receiver. Mike Williams posted a big game last week and lost in that shuffle was that a whopping 14 targets including four in the red zone. The matchup doesn't get any better than this with the Chargers being home and facing a Titans defense that ranks dead last in the league against opposing wide receivers.

Mark Andrews +230

Ok, it didn't happen last week with Tyler Huntley under center but him leaving the game earlier didn't help. That probably pushed these odds higher this week and I think it's a good spot to take advantage of that. Andrews' excellent numbers last season with Huntley show the rapport between the two and I put these odds in the +180/+190 range before looking at what the book had them at.

Allen Lazard +260

I do think the Packers win this one comfortable and despite the emergence of Christian Watson, Lazard has been together longer with Aaron Rodgers and has gotten 12 red zone targets (five inside of the 10). Watson should attract a lot of attention given his seven touchdowns over his last four games and that should have Lazard working against softer coverage. There's also the possibility of a long touchdown with Lazard and Parlaying his anytime touchdown odds with over a high alternate receiving yards prop seems like a good wager.

NFL Picks: NFL Best Bets and Player Props for Week 15 at FanDuel Sportsbook (2024)


Which sportsbook has the most prop bets? ›

Every sportsbook will offer you a huge selection of prop bets. However, the best prop betting sites, like bet365, FanDuel, BetMGM or DraftKings, stand out due to their more extensive selection and types of wagers, easy-to-use betting apps, and access to the best sportsbook promos and bonuses.

How do I win more NFL bets? ›

Avoid Parlays and Teasers

In general, the best betting strategy for football includes staying away from parlays and teasers. If you go 3-1 betting $11 to win $10 on four different NFL games, that's a profit of $19. Those same four games in a $10 parlay would result in a $10 loss.

What are NFL prop bets? ›

A prop bet is basically a sports betting wager on a game not directly tied to the actual outcome of the contest. There are props that have to do with a game as a whole, as well as on the performance of the teams involved. Many of the most popular props revolve around the accomplishments of individual players.

Who is the best bet to win the Super Bowl? ›

The Kansas City Chiefs (+550) are the favorite to win Super Bowl LIX based on betting markets, followed by:
  • San Francisco 49ers (+600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+900)
  • Detroit Lions (+1200)
  • Buffalo Bills (+1400)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)
  • Houston Texans (+1400)
May 18, 2024

What site has the best prop bets? ›

BetMGM Prop Bets betting

BetMGM has so many single-game prop markets available, making it one of the best Prop Bets betting sites in the industry. Its mobile app also organizes the markets extremely well, making it easy to find the bet you are looking for.

What is the sharpest sportsbook for player props? ›

What is the Sharpest Sportsbook for Prop Bets? MyBookie is popular for a lot of things, but it's mostly known for its sharp player prop bets.

What type of bet is most profitable? ›

The most profitable type of bet in sports betting is generally considered to be arbitrage betting, also known as sure betting. This involves taking advantage of different odds offered by different bookmakers on the same event to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome.

How to find the best player props? ›

We will go through the five best NBA prop betting strategies and give you different ideas for betting on NBA props.
  1. Finding a player who is going to increase his minutes. ...
  2. Grouping your bets together. ...
  3. Take advantage of specific matchups. ...
  4. Avoid “lucky” bets. ...
  5. Pay more attention to previous head-to-head matchups.

What is the easiest bet on the NFL? ›

The Top 5 Bet Types for Beginner NFL Bettors
  • Moneylines. Moneyline betting is the simplest way to start with sports betting, particularly in the NFL. ...
  • Point spreads. Point spread betting introduces a bit more complexity. ...
  • Game totals (Over/Under) ...
  • Teaser bets. ...
  • Alternate point spreads.
Sep 9, 2023

How to bet and win every day? ›

General Sports Betting Strategy
  1. Ensure Good Bankroll Management. Effective bankroll management is essential for long-term success. ...
  2. Be Research-Driven. ...
  3. Track Your Results. ...
  4. Use Value Betting. ...
  5. Shop Around for the Best Odds.
Dec 7, 2023

What is the safest bet on football? ›

Double Chance

This is also one of the easiest and safest bets on football because it involves two possible outcomes. You pick one of three options: a home win or draw; away win or draw; home win or away win. To put it simply, if the bet wins, your team either has to win or end up in a draw.

Are prop bets worth it? ›

If you hope to make money betting sports online, but you don't have a large bankroll, betting props is probably a great option for you. That's because you can expect prop lines to be considerably less sharp than something like an NFL spread.

Does FanDuel have NFL prop bets? ›

Our online sportsbook offers a wide range of betting options, including NFL game lines, Super Bowl odds, various NFL prop bets, and futures. To cater to both beginners and seasoned bettors, we present straightforward NFL betting lines, moneylines, and over/under odds for a hassle-free betting experience.

How to understand prop bets? ›

At their core, prop bets are wagers placed on specific events or outcomes within a sporting event that is not directly related to the final score or result of the game. These bets often revolve around individual player performances, statistics, or specific moments during a match.

What is the best app for Super Bowl prop bets? ›

  1. Bovada – Best Super Bowl Betting Site Overall. ...
  2. Betwhale – Best Super Bowl Sports Betting Bonuses. ...
  3. BetOnline – Best Super Bowl Betting App for Prop Bets. ...
  4. MyBookie – Best SuperBowl Betting App for Bonus Bets. ...
  5. BUSR – Best Live Betting Options of All Super Bowl Sportsbooks.
Feb 14, 2024

What is the best sportsbook for Super Bowl bets? ›

Best Super Bowl LVIII Sign-Up Offers for New Users
  1. BetMGM Sportsbook. Offer 1: Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets, Guaranteed. ...
  2. FanDuel Sportsbook. Offer: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. ...
  3. bet365 Sportsbook. ...
  4. Caesars Sportsbook. ...
  5. Fanatics Sportsbook. ...
  6. DraftKings Sportsbook.

What is the most bet on Super Bowl? ›

The Super Bowl thriller between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers in Las Vegas set betting records at Nevada sportsbooks. More than $185.6 million was bet on Super Bowl LVIII with the state's sportsbooks, the most ever, according to unaudited figures released Tuesday.

How to win the most money on the Super Bowl? ›

What is the smartest Super Bowl bet? The smartest Super Bowl bet is point spread betting, as this is typically the wagering type most sharp bettors go for. Taking the points on an underdog can make all the difference, allowing you to win your wager even if the underdog doesn't win the game outright.

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